Template. Everything above the public-preview line is visible to every reader and appears in search results and social previews. Everything below it is delivered only to paying subscribers, by email and on the website.

[The forecast in one sentence]Forecast · horizon [through a stated date] · made [date]
Base case
[The most likely outcome, with numbers where possible]
Main assumptions
[Two or three assumptions the forecast depends on]
Would change if
[The evidence that would change the outlook]

The outlook in brief

Forecast · Horizon: [stated period]

[Two or three paragraphs: the forecast, the horizon and the main reason for it. This is the public preview, so make it useful on its own.]